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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min90-180 min1-3 h30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
3-103-84-101-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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