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Selected:Futures WheelARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)5-Minuten VC-CheckCausal Loop Diagram
| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Architecture ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs) | ![]() Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check | ![]() Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional | 5-15 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | Designers, developers as users, and facilitation | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Prioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks | StartupValidationCompetition | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics |



