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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 90-180 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |