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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | Half day | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |