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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for Theory of Constraints.
Operations
Theory of Constraints
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.For a system that does not get faster despite effort, the method directs attention to the bottleneck. It concentrates improvement on the point that actually limits throughput.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min20-45 min1-3 h2-4 h Analyse, laufend
Participantsdifferent
3-103-123-83-12
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsLessons learned, Action items, Event summaryBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresConstraint Map, Improvement Plan, Flow Metrics
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
LearningOperationsImprovement
FlowMeasurementConstraints
OperationsConstraintsFlowImprovement
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