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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Accountability Ladder
Operations
Accountability Ladder
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With defensive reactions to problems, the method shifts the view from justification to ownership. It makes visible which reaction stage a person or team is currently stuck on.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min20-45 min20-45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-101-81-102-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsOwnership Reflection, Action Commitment, Coaching NotesBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ResponsibilityLeadershipTeam
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
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