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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-60 min30-60 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-101-52-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
Root causeQualityOperations
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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