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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.For an acute quality or delivery problem, the method structures immediate protection and root cause work together. It keeps the situation stable while the actual cause is investigated cleanly.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-4 h20–45 min1-4 h1-6 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group3-84-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan8D Report, Containment Plan, Root Cause Evidence, Corrective Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
QualityProblem solvingRoot cause
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