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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Growth Hooked Model |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | Multiple workshops over several weeks | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | GrowthBehaviorRetention | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |