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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Innovation Design Thinking |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Product Discovery Outcome-Driven Innovation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | For complex user problems with an uncertain cause, the method connects observation, interpretation, and experiment into a learning cycle. It keeps the focus on real needs and avoids premature solution language. This produces robust decisions for product and service. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Outcome-Driven Innovation clarifies customer problems, solution opportunities, and evidence. It separates jobs, desired outcomes, importance, satisfaction, and opportunity, and captures results as desired outcome statements, an opportunity landscape, and segments by underserved needs. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1 Tag bis mehrere Wochen | 60-120 min | Mehrere Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 2-6 researchers plus sample |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Problem Statement, Prototype, Test Learnings | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Desired outcome statements, Opportunity landscape, Segmentation by underserved needs, Innovation hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | InnovationPrototypeResearch | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | OutcomesInnovationResearchQuantitative |