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Criterion
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min5-20 min45-60 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-83-202-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
GrowthRetentionConversion
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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