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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h10-30 min je Item15-60 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-81-82-91-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
FailureResilienceRisk
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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