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| Criterion |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 10-30 min je Item | 45-60 min | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | FailureResilienceRisk | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |