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| Criterion |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Growth A/B Testing |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 Wochen | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | FailureResilienceRisk | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |