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| Criterion |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-5 Tage | 20–45 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | Nutzertraffic | Small cross-functional group | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | FailureResilienceRisk | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |