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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h15-45 min1-2 h20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-81-82-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
FailureResilienceRisk
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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