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| Criterion | ![]() Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis | ![]() Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | FailureResilienceRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |



