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| Criterion |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-3 h | 1-5 Tage | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | Nutzertraffic | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | FailureResilienceRisk | SensemakingDecisionRationale | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |