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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-10 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ForecastingFlowDelivery | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model |