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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Trade-off Analysis.
Decision Making
Trade-off Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a decision table with criteria rows, weighted ratings, and a narrowly leading alternative.
Decision Making
Decision Matrix
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-120 min45-90 min45-90 min
Participantssame
2-82-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsTrade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted DownsidesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDecision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs
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