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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |