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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Innovation Lean Startup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanStartupValidationMVP |