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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Stock and Flow Diagram |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 2-6 h | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Stock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation Hypotheses | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis |