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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-4 Wochen1-3 h45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-62-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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