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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Delivery Shape Up |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down | 30-90 min | 0.5-2 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 2-4 pro Pitch | 1-10 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options |
Tagsno overlap | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | PlanningDeliveryAutonomy | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning |