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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Delivery Shape Up |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down | 45-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 2-4 pro Pitch | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | PlanningDeliveryAutonomy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |