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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Half day | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |