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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-12 Experten | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy |