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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of a Strategy Canvas with several value curves
Business Strategy
Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 h or multiple rounds2-4 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-204-12 Experten3-106-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesStrategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
StrategyPositioningInnovationValue
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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