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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min30-90 min1-2 h15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-201-102-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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