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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-3 h | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |