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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min10-30 min je Item1-3 h0.5-2 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-201-82-84-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk NotesScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
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