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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min10-30 min je Item2-4 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
3-201-82-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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