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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Standard Work Analysis.
Operations
Standard Work Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When the same task is done differently depending on the person, the method exposes the reliable core. It creates comparability without unnecessarily choking off needed latitude.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-3 h15-45 min30-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-61-82-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsStandard Work Sheet, Deviation List, Improved Standard, Training NeedsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
LeanProcessQuality
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanObservationProcessOperations
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