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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min0.5-2 TageHalf day15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-204-123-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsValue Chain Map, Lever ListPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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