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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Architecture Risk Storming |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify architecture context, options, and consequences in concrete terms. It organizes technical context, alternatives, and consequences. The result is captured as an Annotated Diagram, a Prioritized Risk List, and an Action Backlog. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 60-90 min | 15-45 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Annotated Diagram, Prioritized Risk List, Action Backlog | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tags1 shared | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskArchitectureWorkshopValidation | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |