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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Agile Ideal Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 h | 60-180 min | 15-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 3-8 | 4-20 | 2-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskDecisionSensemaking | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | EstimationEffortAgile |