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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min30 min Setup, dann laufend45-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-201-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone2-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsRAID Log, Status Report SourceAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tags1 shared
EstimationEffortRisk
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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