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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min20–45 min25-40 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-20Small cross-functional group1-5Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logLearning Card with evidence and next actionClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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