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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Agile Story Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 15-45 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | laufend, 1-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 1-8 | 3-15 | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | ROAM Board, Owner List | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | EstimationAgileMeasurement |