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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of a Business Model Canvas with nine connected compartments, a few notes and symbols for customers, delivery and economic relationships.
Business Strategy
Business Model Canvas
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min15-45 min1-2 h0.5-2 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-201-82-84-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesBusiness Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business HypothesesScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Business modelStrategyValueInnovation
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
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