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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing OKRs with its core stages and visible working result.
Product Strategy
OKRs
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When strategic direction needs to become measurable, it connects ambition with checkable results. It makes goals connectable to focus and review.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-2 h Setup45-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-202-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsOKR set, Measurement plan, Review cadenceAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
GoalsAlignmentOutcomesMeasurement
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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