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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper board with the four ROAM fields Resolved, Owned, Accepted, and Mitigated.
Agile
ROAM Board
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 minlaufend20-40 min initial, dann laufend15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-123-151-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesROAM Board, Owner ListPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationForecastingFlow
RiskAgileTrackingAlignment
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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