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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | laufend | 1-2 h | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationForecastingFlow | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |