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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  UX Research Customer Journey Mapping |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When a user journey falls apart across many touchpoints, customer journey mapping makes the experience visible as a coherent arc. Phases, emotions, and breaks become legible enough to prioritize critical moments deliberately. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 2-4 h | laufend | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-10 | 2-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Journey Map, Pain-point List, Opportunity Backlog | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | JourneyServiceService design | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |