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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-5 Tage | 60-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |