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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min30-120 min30-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-202-63-123-10
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
LeanObservationProcessOperations
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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