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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 2-4 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 3-8 | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |