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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
3-203-126-30 Experten4-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ChangeDecisionStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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