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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Funnel Analysis workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
Funnel Analysis
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min60-120 min45-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-203-82-81-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFunnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypotheses
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
GrowthRetentionConversion
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AnalyticsConversionGrowth
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